From the booth

The model favored USU to win, and the call landed.

Utah State's got a slight edge here at home, sitting at 52% to win this one, and it's that Vegas spread of two and a half points that's really doing the heavy lifting. The Aggies have the betting market leaning their way just a touch, but make no mistake, this thing is incredibly tight between two evenly matched teams. Troy's actually got a tiny Elo advantage and they've been a little sharper over their last five games, so the Trojans are absolutely still in the driver's seat despite being on the road. This one feels like it could come down to the last possession.