Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ETAlamodome, San AntonioFinal
Colorado State
CSU · 2-1
45
Final
UTSA
UTSA · 2-1
59
Final
Model called it
Spread
UTSA -13.5
Moneyline
CSU +470 / UTSA -670
Total
O/U 57.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Alamodome · San Antonio
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
CSU 45 / UTSA 59
From the booth
The model favored UTSA to win, and the call landed.
UTSA's got this one, and the model likes them big at 77 percent to win. The Roadrunners are playing at home with the betting market and Vegas both backing them strongly, and they've been outscoring teams lately. Colorado State's got some defensive chops based on what they've allowed recently, but that's not nearly enough to overcome UTSA's home-field advantage and hot form in this matchup.
Why the model leans UTSA
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Colorado State: CSU+0.03Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games