Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM ETCanvas Stadium, Fort CollinsConference gameFinal
Oregon State
ORST · 2-2
56
Final
Colorado State
CSU · 2-2
26
Final
Model called it
Spread
ORST -6.5
Moneyline
ORST -245 / CSU +198
Total
O/U 62.5
Weather
80.2°F · 18.5 mph · Clear
Venue
Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM ET
Final
ORST 56 / CSU 26
From the booth
The model favored ORST to win, and the call landed.
Pac-12 conference game Saturday night, and the Beavers have won 2 straight while the Rams have dropped 2. Oregon State is rolling on defense, allowing just 19.7 points over the last 3, but Colorado State's offense is humming at 42.0. The model gives Oregon State 57%, right in line with the market's 6.5-point edge.
Why the model leans ORST
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Colorado State: CSU+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games