Week 7 slate
Week 7Thu, Oct 15 · 8:00 PM ETBobcat Stadium (TX), San MarcosPrime timeConference game
Colorado State
CSU · 2-3
10%
Win probability
Texas State
TXST · 2-3
90%
Win probability
CSUTXST
Spread
TXST -14.5
Moneyline
CSU +460 / TXST -650
Total
O/U 69.5
Weather
82.9°F · 6.8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 15 · 8:00 PM ET
From the booth
Thursday night in San Marcos, and Texas State bounces back from a close road loss to San Diego State while Colorado State is reeling after dropping 3 straight. The Bobcats are averaging 47 points and holding teams to just over 25 over the last 3 games, a stark contrast to the Rams giving up 52 per night. Our model has Texas State at 90%, well ahead of a market laying 14.5 points at home.
Why the model leans TXST
- Favors Texas State: TXST+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Texas State: TXST+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Texas State: TXST+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games