Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ETM. M. Roberts Stadium, HattiesburgPrime timeFinal
UConn
CONN · 1-1
48
Final
Southern Miss
USM · 1-1
20
Final
Model called it
Spread
CONN -3
Moneyline
CONN -162 / USM +136
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
CONN 48 / USM 20
From the booth
The model favored CONN to win, and the call landed.
UConn comes in as a slight favorite in this one, holding a 55% win probability, and the Vegas line backs that up with the Huskies favored by three points. Southern Miss sits at 45%, but here's the thing: this is about as close to a coin flip as you're gonna get, folks. The Huskies have had the better stretch lately and the books are giving them the nod, but the Golden Eagles are right there in it with a real shot to pull off the upset.
Why the model leans CONN
- Favors UConn: CONN+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors UConn: CONN+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors UConn: CONN+0.01Point differential, last 5 games