From the booth

The model favored CLT to win, and the call missed.

Charlotte's got this one locked down at 93 percent, and the numbers tell you exactly why. The 49ers are laying 15 and a half at home, and that spread is backed up by what they've shown lately, both in how they've controlled games over the last five contests and their ability to shut down defenses. The Citadel's coming in as a huge underdog with just a 7 percent chance to pull off the upset, and frankly, the betting markets agree with everything we're seeing on paper here.