From the booth

Memphis comes in as the clear favorite here at 76 percent to win this one, and that's driven primarily by the Vegas market which has them as a 9.5 point favorite at home. The Tigers also own the edge in offensive efficiency over their last five games, though Arkansas State does get a little boost from the rest advantage they're carrying into this matchup. But when you put it all together, this is Memphis's game to lose on their home field.