Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 2:00 PM ETLincoln Financial Field, PhiladelphiaFinal
Rhode Island
URI · 0-0
14
Final
Temple
TEM · 0-0
38
Final
Model called it
Spread
TEM -14.5
Moneyline
URI +530 / TEM -780
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:00 PM ET
Final
URI 14 / TEM 38
From the booth
The model favored TEM to win, and the call landed.
Temple's got this one locked down with a 95 percent win probability, and it's not even close. The Owls are getting a massive 14.5-point spread from Vegas, and they've got the clear talent advantage here with a superior Elo rating that's created a gap that Rhode Island just doesn't have the horses to overcome. The betting market's backing Temple as well, and on top of that, the Owls' defense has been stingy over their last five games. This one figures to be a blowout in Temple's favor.
Why the model leans TEM
- Favors Temple: TEM+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Temple: TEM+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Temple: TEM+0.02Team rating (Elo) edge