Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETRaymond James Stadium, TampaPrime timeFinal
Florida International
FIU · 0-0
9
Final
South Florida
USF · 0-0
19
Final
Model called it
Spread
USF -14.5
Moneyline
FIU +490 / USF -675
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Raymond James Stadium · Tampa
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
FIU 9 / USF 19
From the booth
The model favored USF to win, and the call landed.
South Florida's got this one written all over it, sitting at 91 percent to win this rivalry matchup. The model loves the Bulls here, and you can see why. Vegas has them favored by 14 and a half, the betting markets are firmly in USF's corner, and they've been moving the ball better than FIU these last five games. This is a home-field advantage situation that's just too much for the Panthers to overcome.
Why the model leans USF
- Favors South Florida: USF+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors South Florida: USF+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors South Florida: USF+0.01Point in the season