Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ETAlamodome, San AntonioFinal
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV · 0-0
16
Final
UTSA
UTSA · 0-0
45
Final
Model called it
Spread
UTSA -28.5
Moneyline
RGV +2000 / UTSA -7000
Total
O/U 59.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Alamodome · San Antonio
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
RGV 16 / UTSA 45
From the booth
The model favored UTSA to win, and the call landed.
UTSA's got this one locked down at 99 percent, and it's not even close. The Roadrunners are getting a massive 28.5 point spread from Vegas, they've got the superior Elo rating, and they've been playing better ball in their last five games than Rio Grande Valley. This is about as lopsided as they come on paper, and barring some absolute catastrophe, UTSA should cruise to a comfortable home victory.
Why the model leans UTSA
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.00Betting-market win probability
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge