Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 3:45 PM ETDATCU Stadium, DentonFinal
UNLV
UNLV · 1-1
6
Final
North Texas
UNT · 0-1
44
Final
Model called it
Spread
UNLV -3.5
Moneyline
UNLV -162 / UNT +134
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
99.6°F · 14.5 mph · Clear
Venue
DATCU Stadium · Denton
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:45 PM ET
Final
UNLV 6 / UNT 44
From the booth
The model favored UNT to win, and the call landed.
Well, UNLV's got the slight edge here, but we're talking about as close to a toss-up as it gets. The Rebels have the Vegas spread working in their favor sitting at minus 3.5, and the betting market's backing them just a tick, but North Texas has been operating a little more efficiently on offense lately over their last five games. This one could come down to a possession or two, folks, because honestly, these two teams are about as evenly matched as you're gonna see on the board today.
Why the model leans UNT
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors North Texas: UNT+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors UNLV: UNLVBetting-market win probability