Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ETFAU Stadium, Boca RatonFinal
Florida International
FIU · 1-1
10
Final
Florida Atlantic
FAU · 1-1
16
Final
Model called it
Spread
FAU -6.5
Moneyline
FIU +195 / FAU -240
Total
O/U 62.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
FAU Stadium · Boca Raton
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ET
Final
FIU 10 / FAU 16
From the booth
The model favored FAU to win, and the call landed.
FAU's looking at a 69 percent win probability here, and the numbers back up that comfortable advantage. The Owls' defense has been stingy over their last five games, and Vegas is siding with the home team with a six and a half point spread. FIU's got that 31 percent shot, but they'll need to generate some offense because their unit's been bottled up lately. This one favors FAU, plain and simple.
Why the model leans FAU
- Favors Florida Atlantic: FAU+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Florida Atlantic: FAU+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Florida International: FIU+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games