Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ETSimmons Bank Liberty Stadium, MemphisPrime timeFinal
UT Martin
UTM · 0-1
21
Final
Memphis
MEM · 2-1
45
Final
Model called it
Spread
MEM -34.5
Moneyline
UTM +4000 / MEM -50000
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
UTM 21 / MEM 45
From the booth
The model favored MEM to win, and the call landed.
Memphis is absolutely favored in this one, sitting at 99 percent to win. The Tigers are getting everything in their favor here. Vegas has got them spotting UT Martin 34 and a half, the betting market loves Memphis, and when you look at the Elo ratings and how these teams have been playing lately, it's just no contest. This is about as lopsided as it gets in college football.
Why the model leans MEM
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge