Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00 AM ETJerry Richardson Stadium, CharlotteConference gameFinal
Memphis
MEM · 3-1
59
Final
Charlotte
CLT · 0-4
8
Final
Model called it
Spread
MEM -20.5
Moneyline
MEM -1450 / CLT +850
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
77.7°F · 2.8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00 AM ET
Final
MEM 59 / CLT 8
From the booth
The model favored MEM to win, and the call landed.
Charlotte's winless and getting routed at home, dropping 34-7 to Louisiana. Memphis rolls in fresh off a bye and clicking on both sides of the ball, averaging 35.7 points while holding opponents to 27.7. The Tigers are 20.5-point favorites, and our model goes even harder at 91%. This one shapes up as a mismatch.
Why the model leans MEM
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.02Team rating (Elo) edge