Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ETRice Stadium, HoustonPrime timeConference gameFinal
UTSA
UTSA · 3-1
16
Final
Rice
RICE · 1-3
14
Final
Model called it
Spread
UTSA -11.5
Moneyline
UTSA -550 / RICE +400
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
83.7°F · 9.9 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Rice Stadium · Houston
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
UTSA 16 / RICE 14
From the booth
The model favored UTSA to win, and the call landed.
UTSA rolls into Rice Stadium favored by 11.5, and the Roadrunners have all the momentum. UTSA torched Colorado State 59-45 at home, while Rice has dropped 3 straight and is averaging just 15 points in that span. Our model backs the Roadrunners at 73%, aligned with the market's 11.5-point line.
Why the model leans UTSA
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.18Vegas point spread
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.11Betting-market win probability
- Favors Rice: RICE+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games