Week 6 slate
Week 6Thu, Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ETAlamodome, San AntonioPrime timeConference gameFinal
South Florida
USF · 4-1
24
Final
UTSA
UTSA · 4-1
31
Final
Model called it
Spread
UTSA -6.5
Moneyline
USF +210 / UTSA -260
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Alamodome · San Antonio
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
USF 24 / UTSA 31
From the booth
The model favored UTSA to win, and the call landed.
Thursday night in the Alamodome, and both teams roll in at 4-1 with short weeks in their legs. South Florida just dropped one to Temple 17-13 at home, while UTSA scraped past Rice 16-14 on the road. Our model backs the Roadrunners at 71%, and the market agrees, laying 6.5 points on UTSA's defense over the Bulls' strong run-stop efficiency.
Why the model leans UTSA
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors UTSA: UTSA+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors South Florida: USF+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge