Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 1:00 PM ETDowdy-Ficklen Stadium, GreenvilleConference gameFinal
Rice
RICE · 1-4
12
Final
East Carolina
ECU · 2-2
28
Final
Model called it
Spread
ECU -10
Moneyline
RICE +300 / ECU -380
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
71.5°F · 15.6 mph · Rain, Overcast
Venue
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
RICE 12 / ECU 28
From the booth
The model favored ECU to win, and the call landed.
East Carolina comes off a bye riding 2 straight wins, while Rice has dropped 4 in a row and just fell to UTSA at home 16-14. Our model backs the Pirates at 73%, right in line with a market laying 10 points. ECU's scoring spike on defense over the last few weeks, plus the rest advantage, puts them in control here.
Why the model leans ECU
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Rice: RICE+0.05Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.04Betting-market win probability