Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ETNavy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, AnnapolisConference gameFinal
Tulsa
TLSA · 3-2
26
Final
Navy
NAVY · 1-3
34
Final
Model missed
Spread
NAVY -2.5
Moneyline
TLSA +108 / NAVY -130
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
70.5°F · 9.5 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
TLSA 26 / NAVY 34
From the booth
The model favored TLSA to win, and the call missed.
Tulsa visits Navy at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis on Saturday afternoon in this American Athletic conference game. Our model has Tulsa at 51%, with Navy at 49%. The betting market leans the other way, with Navy favored by 2.5 points. Tulsa is 3-2 and has lost 2 straight, while Navy is 1-3 and has lost 3 straight.
Why the model leans TLSA
- Favors Navy: NAVY+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Tulsa: TLSA+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Navy: NAVY+0.01Betting-market win probability