From the booth

The model favored WKU to win, and the call missed.

Western Kentucky comes in as a slight favorite here, getting just a point and a half from Vegas and sitting at 53% to win it all. The Hilltoppers have a small edge in team strength and the betting market's backing them too, though it's razor thin across the board. Nevada gets a tiny boost from playing at home, but that's not quite enough to flip the script in this one. This has all the makings of a classic coin flip, folks, and either team's got a legitimate shot to take it down tonight.