From the booth

The model favored NEV to win, and the call missed.

Nevada comes into this one as a slight favorite with a fifty-nine percent win probability, and the market likes what it sees from the Wolf Pack right now. Middle Tennessee's sitting at forty-one percent to pull off the upset at home, but Vegas has them lined at minus three and a half, and when you look at the Blue Raiders' recent tape, they're getting outpaced in offensive efficiency and haven't been winning their last five games like their opponent has. This one's got Nevada's fingerprints all over it, but it's still football, and that's why they play the games.