Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 1:00 PM ETFalcon Stadium, Colorado SpringsFinal
Duquesne
DUQ · 0-0
0
Final
Air Force
AF · 0-0
34
Final
Model called it
Spread
AF -28.5
Moneyline
DUQ +2400 / AF -10000
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Falcon Stadium · Colorado Springs
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
DUQ 0 / AF 34
From the booth
The model favored AF to win, and the call landed.
Air Force is sitting pretty at 99 percent to win this one, and it's not even close. The Falcons are getting a massive 28 and a half point cushion from Vegas, they've got the superior Elo rating, and the betting market just keeps backing them in. Duquesne's got to go on the road here as a massive underdog, and everything we're seeing points to Air Force running away with this game.
Why the model leans AF
- Favors Air Force: AF+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Air Force: AF+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Air Force: AF+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge