Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ETUniversity Stadium (NM), AlbuquerquePrime time
Central Michigan
CMU · 0-0
17%
Win probability
New Mexico
UNM · 0-0
83%
Win probability
CMUUNM
Spread
UNM -12
Moneyline
CMU +400 / UNM -575
Total
O/U 48
Weather
—
Venue
University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
From the booth
New Mexico's got this one. The Lobos are sitting at 83 percent to win at home, and it's not even close, folks. The betting market and Vegas both agree here, giving UNM a significant edge, and when you couple that with their Elo rating advantage, the model's got the home team rolling by a field goal plus nine.
Why the model leans UNM
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.01Point in the season
- UNM