Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ETUniversity Stadium (NM), AlbuquerquePrime timeFinal
Central Michigan
CMU · 0-0
7
Final
New Mexico
UNM · 0-0
38
Final
Model called it
Spread
UNM -10.5
Moneyline
CMU +340 / UNM -440
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Final
CMU 7 / UNM 38
From the booth
The model favored UNM to win, and the call landed.
New Mexico's looking like a heavy favorite here, sitting at 80 percent to win this one. The Lobos have got the clear edge on the field according to the ratings, and Vegas is backing that up with a 10 and a half point spread in their favor. The betting markets agree too, so all the arrows are pointing toward UNM taking care of business at home against Central Michigan.
Why the model leans UNM
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.01Point in the season