From the booth

The model favored AF to win, and the call landed.

Air Force is in the driver's seat here, and they're getting the majority of the market's respect with a 64% win probability. The Falcons are favored by five and a half, and the Vegas line combined with the betting market are really the backbone of their edge in this one. Nevada's had a tougher time of it recently, down in their last five, and Air Force is sitting pretty with the rest advantage too. This is a Mountain West battle, but the chalk is pretty clear, and you're looking at Air Force as the team to beat tonight.