Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ETInfoCision Stadium, AkronFinal
UNLV
UNLV · 1-2
38
Final
Akron
AKR · 1-2
10
Final
Model called it
Spread
UNLV -13.5
Moneyline
UNLV -550 / AKR +400
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
InfoCision Stadium · Akron
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
UNLV 38 / AKR 10
From the booth
The model favored UNLV to win, and the call landed.
UNLV is in the driver's seat here, favored by 13 and a half points with a 76 percent win probability, and the numbers tell you why. The Rebels have the better team rating, they've got the rest edge, and the betting market is aligned on this one. Akron's fighting an uphill battle at just 24 percent to pull off the upset at home, but hey, that's why they play the games.
Why the model leans UNLV
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.17Vegas point spread
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.01Rest advantage