Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETFargodome, FargoConference gameFinal
Wyoming
WYO · 2-2
0
Final
North Dakota State
NDSU · 4-0
28
Final
Model called it
Spread
NDSU -17.5
Moneyline
WYO +680 / NDSU -1100
Total
O/U 44.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Fargodome · Fargo
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
WYO 0 / NDSU 28
From the booth
The model favored NDSU to win, and the call landed.
North Dakota State rolls in unbeaten at 4-0 after a bye week, while Wyoming limps in at 2-2 off a win over Hawai'i. The Bison are dominant inside the Fargodome, averaging 35.7 points and allowing just 14.0 over their last 3. Our model has North Dakota State at 86%, and the market agrees, laying 17.5 points on the home team.
Why the model leans NDSU
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.14Vegas point spread
- Favors Wyoming: WYO+0.05Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.05Betting-market win probability