Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ETSun Bowl, El PasoPrime timeConference gameFinal
Nevada
NEV · 1-3
30
Final
UTEP
UTEP · 1-4
13
Final
Model called it
Spread
NEV -9.5
Moneyline
NEV -375 / UTEP +295
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
84.6°F · 14.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Sun Bowl · El Paso
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
NEV 30 / UTEP 13
From the booth
The model favored NEV to win, and the call landed.
Mountain West conference game Saturday night at the Sun Bowl, and Nevada gets a bye week while UTEP limps in after a 61-7 blowout loss to New Mexico. Both teams are sliding, but the Wolf Pack have a rest advantage and a season-long strength edge. Our model backs Nevada at 73%, and Vegas agrees, laying 9.5 points on the road.
Why the model leans NEV
- Favors Nevada: NEV+0.18Vegas point spread
- Favors Nevada: NEV+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Nevada: NEV+0.01Rest advantage
- NEV