

Model called it
The model favored UNM to win, and the call landed.
Well, New Mexico's got this one circled as a pretty comfortable road win, sitting at 74 percent to take it home. The Lobos have the edge across the board here, from Vegas laying eleven and a half points against the Aggies to their offensive efficiency over the last five games, which has been noticeably sharper. New Mexico State does get a little rest advantage working in their favor at home, but it's just not enough to overcome what looks like a pretty clear talent and execution gap in this rivalry matchup.
Model vcfb-1.0.0 · predicted Sep 26, 2026 · not betting advice