From the booth

Bowling Green's the favorite here at 67 percent to get the job done at home, and it's pretty straightforward why. The Falcons have been the better football team over their last five games, showing advantages in both efficiency and point differential, and they've got the overall talent edge in this matchup. Now Vegas has a slight lean toward Tarleton State with a two and a half point spread, but that's not enough to overcome Bowling Green's play on the field. Expect the home team to control this one.