Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM ETScheumann Stadium, MuncieFinal
Stony Brook
STBK · 0-0
17
Final
Ball State
BALL · 0-1
41
Final
Model called it
Spread
BALL -14.5
Moneyline
STBK +520 / BALL -750
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
80.9°F · 6.8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Scheumann Stadium · Muncie
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM ET
Final
STBK 17 / BALL 41
From the booth
The model favored BALL to win, and the call landed.
Ball State's the heavy favorite here at 90 percent to win, and the market's telling you why. The Vegas line's got the Cardinals favored by 14 and a half, and that spread's doing the heavy lifting in this matchup. Stony Brook's got a slight rest edge, but it's not enough to move the needle against a Ball State defense that's been solid over their last five games. This one looks like it's Ball State's to lose, plain and simple.
Why the model leans BALL
- Favors Ball State: BALL+0.10Vegas point spread
- Favors Ball State: BALL+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Stony Brook: STBK+0.01Rest advantage