Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 1:00 PM ETKelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount PleasantFinal
Colgate
COLG · 0-0
10
Final
Central Michigan
CMU · 0-1
13
Final
Model called it
Spread
CMU -22.5
Moneyline
COLG +1280 / CMU -3500
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
76.4°F · 13.7 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
COLG 10 / CMU 13
From the booth
The model favored CMU to win, and the call landed.
Central Michigan's got this one locked up, and the model agrees at 97 percent. The Chippewas are favored by 22 and a half points here, and really, it comes down to a pretty straightforward story. Vegas likes them, the Elo ratings like them, and CMU's been playing better ball over their last five games. Colgate's fighting a steep hill at just 3 percent to pull off the upset.
Why the model leans CMU
- Favors Central Michigan: CMU+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Central Michigan: CMU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Central Michigan: CMU+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge