Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETWarren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, HadleyConference gameFinal
Eastern Michigan
EMU · 2-3
38
Final
Massachusetts
MASS · 4-0
14
Final
Model missed
Spread
MASS -5.5
Moneyline
EMU +185 / MASS -225
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
66.9°F · 6.6 mph · Clear
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Hadley
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
EMU 38 / MASS 14
From the booth
The model favored MASS to win, and the call missed.
Massachusetts rolls into a Mid-American conference game unbeaten at 4-0, while Eastern Michigan looks to bounce back after a loss. The Minutemen are averaging 36 points and allowing just 10 over their last 3, a dominant stretch that has our model at 69%. The market agrees, laying 5.5 on Massachusetts, and the gap widens when you factor in the Minutemen's offensive efficiency.
Why the model leans MASS
- Favors Massachusetts: MASS+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Massachusetts: MASS+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Massachusetts: MASS+0.03Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games