Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 2:00 PM ETWarren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, HadleyConference gameFinal
Miami (OH)
M-OH · 2-3
20
Final
Massachusetts
MASS · 4-1
19
Final
Model called it
Spread
M-OH -4.5
Moneyline
M-OH -198 / MASS +164
Total
O/U 44.5
Weather
62.4°F · 2.1 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Hadley
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 2:00 PM ET
Final
M-OH 20 / MASS 19
From the booth
The model favored M-OH to win, and the call landed.
Massachusetts sits at 4-1 but just got walloped by Eastern Michigan 38-14 at home, while Miami (OH) is 2-3 and lost to Bowling Green by 4. Our model backs the RedHawks at 57%, aligned with a market laying 4.5 points on the road. Miami (OH)'s offensive efficiency over the last 5 games and season-long strength give it the edge in this Mid-American conference matchup.
Why the model leans M-OH
- Favors Miami (OH): M-OH+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Miami (OH): M-OH+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Miami (OH): M-OH+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge