From the booth

Sacramento State is in freefall, losers of 4 straight and getting outscored 34.7 to 8.7 over the last 3 games. Ohio counters with 3 wins in a row, averaging 26.3 points while holding opponents to 10.3. The Bobcats sit at 91% in our model, well above the 15.5-point spread, backed by their overall strength and a plus differential that's been massive over the last 5 games.