Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, MurfreesboroPrime time
Murray State
MUR · 0-0
3%
Win probability
Middle Tennessee
MTSU · 0-0
97%
Win probability
MURMTSU
Spread
MTSU -20.5
Moneyline
MUR +1000 / MTSU -1800
Total
O/U 59.5
Weather
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Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
From the booth
Middle Tennessee's got this one locked down, sitting at 97% to win this game. The Blue Raiders are getting significant help from that 20-and-a-half point spread, and the betting market's backing them in a big way. MTSU's also been playing some solid defense lately and outscoring opponents in their last five, so Murray State's facing a real uphill climb here in Murfreesboro.
Why the model leans MTSU
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSU+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSU+0.01Point differential, last 5 games