Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ETCentennial Bank Stadium, JonesboroPrime timeFinal
West Georgia
WGA · 0-1
7
Final
Arkansas State
ARST · 0-1
52
Final
Model called it
Spread
ARST -31.5
Moneyline
WGA +3500 / ARST -20000
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
90.5°F · 5.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
WGA 7 / ARST 52
From the booth
The model favored ARST to win, and the call landed.
Arkansas State is absolutely rolling here, coming in as a massive 31 and a half point favorite, and everything in the model backs it up. The Red Wolves have the clear Elo advantage, they've been sharper over their last five games, and Vegas and the betting market are both aligned that this is a home blowout waiting to happen. West Georgia's got their hands full trying to keep this respectable, but Arkansas State's got 99 percent win probability written all over this one.
Why the model leans ARST
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arkansas State: ARSTTeam rating (Elo) edge