From the booth

The model favored USA to win, and the call landed.

South Alabama's got a significant edge in this one, sitting at an 85 percent win probability, and it really comes down to their superior Elo rating and what the betting market's telling us. The Jaguars are favored by 12 and a half points, and honestly, they're the more talented team here. Southeast Louisiana's got a little life from their play over the last five games, but it's not nearly enough to overcome that talent gap. This looks like a South Alabama win, plain and simple.