Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 5:00 PM ETM. M. Roberts Stadium, HattiesburgFinal
Alcorn State
ALCN · 0-0
3
Final
Southern Miss
USM · 0-0
49
Final
Model called it
Spread
USM -18.5
Moneyline
ALCN +800 / USM -1400
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 5:00 PM ET
Final
ALCN 3 / USM 49
From the booth
The model favored USM to win, and the call landed.
Southern Miss is absolutely favored here, and the model's got 'em at 97 percent to get the win. The Golden Eagles have got the edge in just about every category, from the Vegas line sitting at 18 and a half points to the Elo rating advantage, and Alcorn State's gonna have to play out of their minds to pull off the upset. This one shapes up as a mismatch on paper, folks, so it's Southern Miss's game to lose tonight.
Why the model leans USM
- Favors Southern Miss: USM+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Southern Miss: USM+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Southern Miss: USM+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge