Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ETJoe Aillet Stadium, RustonPrime timeFinal
Army
ARMY · 2-1
29
Final
Louisiana Tech
LT · 1-2
31
Final
Model missed
Spread
ARMY -1.5
Moneyline
ARMY -122 / LT +102
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
82.9°F · 10.4 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
ARMY 29 / LT 31
From the booth
The model favored ARMY to win, and the call missed.
Louisiana Tech is looking to bounce back after dropping 2 straight, but they'll face Army on a short week. The Black Knights edged Temple 21-17 on the road and are holding opponents to just 16.0 points per game over their last 3. The model favors Army at 54%, aligned with the market laying just 1.5 points, and Army's defensive efficiency and point differential give them the edge in this nonconference matchup.
Why the model leans ARMY
- Favors Army: ARMY+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Army: ARMY+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Army: ARMY+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games