Week 7 slate
Week 7Fri, Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ETBrooks Stadium (SC), ConwayPrime timeConference game
App State
APP · 3-2
47%
Win probability
Coastal Carolina
CCU · 2-4
53%
Win probability
APPCCU
Spread
APP -1.5
Moneyline
APP -118 / CCU -102
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
74.4°F · 9.1 mph · Clear
Venue
Brooks Stadium (SC) · Conway
Kickoff
Fri, Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET
From the booth
Friday night in Conway, and this is a Sun Belt battle between a slumping App State team that just lost to Old Dominion and a Coastal Carolina squad riding a road win over Marshall. The market likes App State by 1.5, but our model leans Coastal Carolina at 53%, banking on their offensive efficiency over the last 5 games despite App State's better point differential in that same stretch.
Why the model leans CCU
- Favors App State: APP+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors Coastal Carolina: CCU+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors App State: APP+0.04Betting-market win probability