Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ETM. M. Roberts Stadium, HattiesburgPrime timeConference game
Arkansas State
ARST · 2-4
66%
Win probability
Southern Miss
USM · 1-4
34%
Win probability
ARSTUSM
Spread
ARST -7
Moneyline
ARST -270 / USM +220
Total
O/U 62.5
Weather
67.6°F · 11 mph · Clear
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
From the booth
Sun Belt conference game Saturday night in Hattiesburg, and both teams are searching for answers. Southern Miss has dropped 4 straight and is getting torched defensively, while Arkansas State fell at home to South Alabama but still owns better efficiency and point differential over the last 5. Our model favors the Red Wolves at 66%, aligning with a market laying 7 points.
Why the model leans ARST
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.11Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games