Week 7 slate
Week 7Thu, Oct 15 · 7:30 PM ETS.B. Ballard Stadium, NorfolkPrime timeConference game
Georgia Southern
GASO · 2-4
56%
Win probability
Old Dominion
ODU · 2-4
44%
Win probability
GASOODU
Spread
GASO -3.5
Moneyline
GASO -176 / ODU +146
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
67.5°F · 12.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 15 · 7:30 PM ET
From the booth
Thursday night in the Sun Belt, and both teams are banged up on short weeks. Old Dominion stunned App State 10-3 on the road, but Georgia Southern just dropped one to James Madison 27-24 at home. Our model leans the Eagles at 56%, aligned with a market laying 3.5 points. Georgia Southern's defensive efficiency and point differential over the last 5 games give them the edge here.
Why the model leans GASO
- Favors Georgia Southern: GASO+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Georgia Southern: GASO+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Georgia Southern: GASO+0.03Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games