Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ETJoe Aillet Stadium, RustonPrime timeConference gameFinal
Louisiana
UL · 4-1
31
Final
Louisiana Tech
LT · 2-2
32
Final
Model called it
Spread
LT -3
Moneyline
UL +130 / LT -155
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
82.5°F · 3.4 mph · Clear
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
UL 31 / LT 32
From the booth
The model favored LT to win, and the call landed.
Louisiana brings a 4-1 record and 3-game winning streak into Ruston, but Louisiana Tech gets the nod at home. The model likes the Bulldogs at 55%, slight disagreement with the betting market laying just 3 points. Louisiana's efficiency on offense and point differential carry weight, yet the Bulldogs have the edge at home and in the market's eyes.
Why the model leans LT
- Favors Louisiana Tech: LT+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Louisiana Tech: LT+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Louisiana: UL+0.01Point differential, last 5 games