Week 6 slate
Week 6Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ETHouchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling GreenPrime timeConference gameFinal
Missouri State
MOST · 1-3
13
Final
Western Kentucky
WKU · 1-4
34
Final
Model missed
Spread
WKU -1.5
Moneyline
MOST -102 / WKU -118
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
75.4°F · 5.4 mph · Clear
Venue
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
MOST 13 / WKU 34
From the booth
The model favored MOST to win, and the call missed.
Thursday night in Conference USA, and Missouri State gets a rest advantage here. The Bears dropped their last 2, including a 34-24 loss to SMU, while Western Kentucky is down at 1-4 after getting blasted by New Mexico State. Our model leans Missouri State at 58%, but the market disagrees, laying 1.5 on the Hilltoppers at home.
Why the model leans MOST
- Favors Western Kentucky: WKU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Western Kentucky: WKU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Missouri State: MOST+0.02Rest advantage