Week 7 slate
Week 7Tue, Oct 13 · 7:00 PM ETJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, MurfreesboroPrime timeConference gameFinal
Delaware
DEL · 2-3
30
Final
Middle Tennessee
MTSU · 2-3
33
Final
Model missed
Spread
DEL -1.5
Moneyline
DEL -118 / MTSU -102
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
82.3°F · 8.3 mph · Clear
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro
Kickoff
Tue, Oct 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
DEL 30 / MTSU 33
From the booth
The model favored DEL to win, and the call missed.
Tuesday night in Conference USA, and both teams are scrapping after losing 2 straight. Delaware edged Middle Tennessee 31-28 last time out, and our model gives the Blue Hens a slight edge at 55%, aligned with the market laying 1.5 on the road. Delaware's offensive efficiency over the last 5 games and a better point differential are the lean here, though both offenses have been bottled up lately.
Why the model leans DEL
- Favors Delaware: DEL+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Delaware: DEL+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Delaware: DEL+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games