Week 6 slate
Week 6Tue, Oct 6 · 8:00 PM ETVeterans Memorial Stadium (AL), TroyPrime timeConference gameFinal
Southern Miss
USM · 1-3
34
Final
Troy
TROY · 2-2
55
Final
Model called it
Spread
TROY -10.5
Moneyline
USM +320 / TROY -420
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
72.8°F · 6.7 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy
Kickoff
Tue, Oct 6 · 8:00 PM ET
Final
USM 34 / TROY 55
From the booth
The model favored TROY to win, and the call landed.
Sun Belt conference game Tuesday night in Troy, and both teams are sliding. The Trojans have dropped 2 straight, while Southern Miss is in free fall at 1-3 with 3 losses running. Our model favors Troy at 78%, well ahead of a market laying 10.5 points at home. Troy's point differential and Southern Miss's offensive struggles are the key drivers here.
Why the model leans TROY
- Favors Troy: TROY+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Troy: TROY+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Troy: TROY+0.02Point differential, last 5 games