Week 1 slate
Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ETBank of America Stadium, CharlotteFinal
Bears
CHI · 0-0
59
Final
Panthers
CAR · 0-0
37
Final
Model called it
Spread
CHI -3
Moneyline
CHI -166 / CAR +140
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
86.8°F · 4.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
CHI 59 / CAR 37
From the booth
The model favored CHI to win, and the call landed.
The Chicago Bears are favored in this one, and it's not even close. They're walking into Carolina with a 74 percent win probability, and the model's got them winning on all the major factors. The Elo ratings, the defensive performance over the last five games, the spread, everything's pointing to Chicago, and the betting markets agree with that assessment across the board.
Why the model leans CHI
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.09Betting-market win probability
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.04Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games