Week 1 slate
Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ETMetLife Stadium, East RutherfordPrime timeDivisionalFinal
Cowboys
DAL · 0-0
20
Final
Giants
NYG · 0-0
28
Final
Model missed
Spread
DAL -3
Moneyline
DAL -162 / NYG +136
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
76.7°F · 5.2 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
Final
DAL 20 / NYG 28
From the booth
The model favored DAL to win, and the call missed.
The Dallas Cowboys are favored in this one, and they're coming in with a 68% win probability over the Giants. The model's got the Cowboys winning because of what we're seeing in Vegas, the betting market's all over Dallas, and frankly the Giants' defense hasn't been sharp the last five games. Now, New York's got a little juice from that point differential over their last five, but it's not enough to overcome the away team's edge here, so the model's got Dallas at better than two-to-one odds to get the win.
Why the model leans DAL
- Favors Cowboys: DAL+0.12Betting-market win probability
- Favors Cowboys: DAL+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors Cowboys: DALDefensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games