Week 1 slate
Week 1Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ETLumen Field, SeattlePrime timeFinal
Patriots
NE · 0-0
10
Final
Seahawks
SEA · 0-0
13
Final
Model called it
Spread
SEA -3
Moneyline
NE +142 / SEA -170
Total
O/U 44.5
Weather
73.3°F · 6.9 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Lumen Field · Seattle
Kickoff
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
Final
NE 10 / SEA 13
From the booth
The model favored SEA to win, and the call landed.
The Seahawks are favored here, and they should be, sitting at 68 percent to win this one at home. Vegas likes Seattle by three, the betting market's backing them, and they've got the Elo edge in this matchup. New England's fighting an uphill battle as a visitor, though they're not completely out of it at 32 percent. The Patriots are maybe catching Seattle at the right time in the season, but that's really their only thing working in their favor here.
Why the model leans SEA
- Favors Seahawks: SEA+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Seahawks: SEA+0.03Team rating (Elo) edge
- Favors Patriots: NE+0.03Point in the season