Week 1 slate
Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ETFord Field, DetroitFinal
Saints
NO · 0-0
30
Final
Lions
DET · 0-0
31
Final
Model called it
Spread
DET -7
Moneyline
NO +260 / DET -325
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Ford Field · Detroit
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
NO 30 / DET 31
From the booth
The model favored DET to win, and the call landed.
The Lions are favored today, and here's why. Detroit's got the edge in overall health, the betting market likes them at home, and Vegas has them as a touchdown favorite. New Orleans has been taking care of the football better over their last three games, but it's not quite enough to overcome Detroit's advantages. This one's got Lions win written all over it at 66 percent.
Why the model leans DET
- Favors Lions: DET+0.08Betting-market win probability
- Favors Saints: NO+0.04Turnover differential, last 3 games
- Favors Lions: DET+0.04Overall injury burden