Week 2 slate
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ETNRG Stadium, HoustonFinal
Bengals
CIN · 1-0
20
Final
Texans
HOU · 0-1
6
Final
Model missed
Spread
HOU -3
Moneyline
CIN +124 / HOU -148
Total
O/U 45.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
NRG Stadium · Houston
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
CIN 20 / HOU 6
From the booth
The model favored HOU to win, and the call missed.
The Houston Texans are favored in this one, 54 to 46, and it's a pretty tight matchup come Sunday. The smart money's backing Houston with a slight edge, and they've got that Elo rating advantage working in their favor, but don't sleep on Cincinnati here. The Bengals' defense has been stingy over the last five games and they've been winning the turnover battle lately, which could absolutely keep this one within the number.
Why the model leans HOU
- Favors Texans: HOU+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Bengals: CIN+0.04Turnover differential, last 3 games
- Favors Bengals: CINDefensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games